What the Theory Claims
"Havana Syndrome" refers to a cluster of neurological symptoms — sudden-onset ear pain, pressure, disorientation, tinnitus, cognitive impairment, and balance problems — reported by US and Canadian diplomatic personnel and intelligence officers beginning in Havana, Cuba in 2016. The theory, now investigated as a potentially real national security matter, proposes that a directed-energy weapon, likely using pulsed radio frequency or ultrasound, was deployed against US personnel. The question of whether the syndrome is real, and who might be responsible, remains under active investigation.
Origin and Key Dates
The first reports emerged from US Embassy staff in Havana in late 2016 during the brief period of normalized US-Cuba relations under the Obama administration. Affected personnel reported anomalous sounds or sensations followed by persistent neurological symptoms. By 2017, the State Department had pulled non-emergency staff from Havana and expelled Cuban diplomats in retaliation.
Cases subsequently appeared in China (Guangzhou, 2017-2018), Europe, the United States itself, and multiple other postings, affecting CIA officers, FBI agents, and NSC staff in addition to Foreign Service personnel.
Key Investigations and Findings
A 2020 report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine — commissioned by the State Department — concluded that the most plausible mechanism for the reported neurological effects was pulsed radio frequency (RF) energy, consistent with known RF bioeffects in the scientific literature. The committee could not rule out other possible mechanisms and noted the possible additive effects of psychological conditions.
The 2023 assessment by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), based on analysis by seven intelligence agencies, reached a more skeptical conclusion: most agencies found it "very unlikely" that a foreign adversary was responsible, and some attributed the majority of cases to stress, illness, and psychological factors. The CIA assessed it had found no evidence of a sustained foreign directed-energy program, though it left open the possibility that a small number of cases remain unexplained.
AP reported that an updated assessment released on 10 January 2025 had five of the seven agencies judging it very unlikely that a foreign adversary was behind the incidents; one agency found a "roughly even chance" that a foreign government had used such a weapon in select cases, and another judged it possible that a foreign power had developed one but unlikely that it had been deployed. An intelligence official told AP that the two agencies stated their findings with low confidence. In December 2024 a House Intelligence Committee subcommittee had published an interim report saying an intelligence community assessment was "sufficiently problematic as to hinder the Subcommittee's trust in the Intelligence Community's process and conclusions."
In June 2026 Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard rescinded both the 2023 and January 2025 assessments. According to CNN, an ODNI memo to the intelligence community said the assessments had selectively excluded relevant intelligence, suppressed alternative analysis, relied on an ethically flawed medical study and "limited intelligence collection to maintain an analytic line which relied on absence of evidence." Those are ODNI's characterisations: rescinding an assessment is a judgement about how it was produced and does not itself show that a foreign adversary caused any incident. At the time, CNN reported it was not clear whether the rescission would lead to a new investigation.
This split between the National Academies' medical analysis and the intelligence community's attribution assessment has not been resolved.
Why It Remains Under Investigation
A subset of cases involve reported neurological findings, including differences in brain tissue and connectivity identified in a University of Pennsylvania imaging study of affected personnel published in JAMA in 2019. A larger NIH imaging study published in JAMA in March 2024 compared 81 affected people with 48 matched controls and found no significant differences in brain structure or function, so the imaging evidence is contested. The RF pulsed-energy hypothesis has a basis in Soviet-era research and documented microwave auditory effects (the Frey effect). No mass-casualty sonic or RF attack has been conclusively attributed to any state actor. In January 2026 CNN reported, citing four sources, that the Defense Department had spent more than a year testing a device bought in an undercover operation that some investigators think could be the cause of the incidents; the device is still being studied and its link to the unexplained incidents is debated.
Current Status
The HAVANA Act of 2021 (the Helping American Victims Afflicted by Neurological Attacks Act) is the basis for compensation payments to affected personnel. The Defense Department said in July 2025 that it had begun reviewing applications, and said in July 2026 that it had disbursed nearly $3 million in compensation, which it described as the first HAVANA Act payments made under any presidential administration. Investigation continues. The case sits at the intersection of contested medical evidence, intelligence attribution uncertainty, and reported symptoms that resist simple dismissal.
What is documented, and where the claim outruns it
Affected people reported real symptoms, official investigations occurred, and expert panels disagreed over how strongly the evidence supports a directed-energy explanation.
The unsupported inference is that every reported case has been proven to be a foreign weapon attack, or that all symptoms are fabricated.
Evidence Filters12
National Academies 2020: pulsed RF energy plausible
SupportingStrongThe NAS/NRC report concluded directed pulsed radio-frequency energy as the most plausible mechanism for the observed symptoms at Havana and China.
Documented brain imaging differences
SupportingUniversity of Pennsylvania researchers (JAMA 2019) reported differences in brain tissue and connectivity in 40 affected US personnel compared with healthy controls — though the larger NIH imaging study of March 2024 found no significant differences in brain structure or function.
Reports in geographically diverse locations
SupportingReports at US embassies/consulates in Havana, Guangzhou, Hanoi, Vienna, Berlin, Paris, and elsewhere suggest a pattern rather than isolated cases.
GRU Unit 29155 reporting (Insider/Der Spiegel/60 Minutes 2024)
SupportingJoint investigations by The Insider, Der Spiegel, and 60 Minutes in 2024 linked some Havana Syndrome incidents to presence of GRU Unit 29155 operatives.
Personnel have documented medical harm
SupportingStrongAffected US diplomats and intelligence officers have received formal medical care including cognitive rehabilitation. The symptom cluster is not in dispute among treating physicians.
CIA officer accounts
SupportingMultiple named former CIA officers have publicly described incapacitating symptom onset events consistent with the cluster.
IC assessments (2023, 2025): foreign adversary "very unlikely" (rescinded June 2026)
DebunkingIn March 2023 the Director of National Intelligence said most intelligence agencies had concluded it was "very unlikely" a foreign adversary was responsible, adding that "IC agencies have varying confidence levels because we still have gaps". AP reported that an updated assessment in January 2025 had five of seven agencies agreeing, while two took a more open view with low confidence. In June 2026 the Director of National Intelligence rescinded both assessments after an ODNI memo criticised how they were produced.
NIH 2024: no structural brain differences
DebunkingStrongAn NIH imaging study published in JAMA (March 2024) compared 81 affected personnel with 48 matched controls and found no significant differences in brain structure or function. NIH researchers said the symptoms are very real.
Crickets audio analysis (Havana)
DebunkingAudio recorded during alleged incidents in Havana was attributed by University of California, Berkeley biologists to Indies short-tailed cricket calls — an environmental explanation.
Mass psychogenic illness component plausible
DebunkingCuban and US physicians (including at JAMA Psychiatry 2021) have argued a significant fraction of cases fit mass-psychogenic-illness patterns, though this does not account for all physical findings.
Show 2 more evidence points
June 2026: DNI rescinds the 2023 and 2025 IC assessments
NeutralDirector of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard rescinded both assessments in June 2026. CNN reported that an ODNI memo said they had selectively excluded relevant intelligence, suppressed alternative analysis and relied on an ethically flawed medical study. Those are ODNI's characterisations; the rescission does not itself show that a foreign adversary caused any incident, and some incidents remain officially unexplained.
Pentagon testing a device bought in an undercover operation
NeutralWeakCNN reported in January 2026, citing four sources, that the Defense Department had spent more than a year testing a device bought in an undercover operation that some investigators think could be the cause of the incidents. The device is still being studied and its link to the unexplained incidents is debated, with skepticism in some quarters of government.
Evidence Cited by Believers6
National Academies 2020: pulsed RF energy plausible
SupportingStrongThe NAS/NRC report concluded directed pulsed radio-frequency energy as the most plausible mechanism for the observed symptoms at Havana and China.
Documented brain imaging differences
SupportingUniversity of Pennsylvania researchers (JAMA 2019) reported differences in brain tissue and connectivity in 40 affected US personnel compared with healthy controls — though the larger NIH imaging study of March 2024 found no significant differences in brain structure or function.
Reports in geographically diverse locations
SupportingReports at US embassies/consulates in Havana, Guangzhou, Hanoi, Vienna, Berlin, Paris, and elsewhere suggest a pattern rather than isolated cases.
GRU Unit 29155 reporting (Insider/Der Spiegel/60 Minutes 2024)
SupportingJoint investigations by The Insider, Der Spiegel, and 60 Minutes in 2024 linked some Havana Syndrome incidents to presence of GRU Unit 29155 operatives.
Personnel have documented medical harm
SupportingStrongAffected US diplomats and intelligence officers have received formal medical care including cognitive rehabilitation. The symptom cluster is not in dispute among treating physicians.
CIA officer accounts
SupportingMultiple named former CIA officers have publicly described incapacitating symptom onset events consistent with the cluster.
Counter-Evidence4
IC assessments (2023, 2025): foreign adversary "very unlikely" (rescinded June 2026)
DebunkingIn March 2023 the Director of National Intelligence said most intelligence agencies had concluded it was "very unlikely" a foreign adversary was responsible, adding that "IC agencies have varying confidence levels because we still have gaps". AP reported that an updated assessment in January 2025 had five of seven agencies agreeing, while two took a more open view with low confidence. In June 2026 the Director of National Intelligence rescinded both assessments after an ODNI memo criticised how they were produced.
NIH 2024: no structural brain differences
DebunkingStrongAn NIH imaging study published in JAMA (March 2024) compared 81 affected personnel with 48 matched controls and found no significant differences in brain structure or function. NIH researchers said the symptoms are very real.
Crickets audio analysis (Havana)
DebunkingAudio recorded during alleged incidents in Havana was attributed by University of California, Berkeley biologists to Indies short-tailed cricket calls — an environmental explanation.
Mass psychogenic illness component plausible
DebunkingCuban and US physicians (including at JAMA Psychiatry 2021) have argued a significant fraction of cases fit mass-psychogenic-illness patterns, though this does not account for all physical findings.
Neutral / Ambiguous2
June 2026: DNI rescinds the 2023 and 2025 IC assessments
NeutralDirector of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard rescinded both assessments in June 2026. CNN reported that an ODNI memo said they had selectively excluded relevant intelligence, suppressed alternative analysis and relied on an ethically flawed medical study. Those are ODNI's characterisations; the rescission does not itself show that a foreign adversary caused any incident, and some incidents remain officially unexplained.
Pentagon testing a device bought in an undercover operation
NeutralWeakCNN reported in January 2026, citing four sources, that the Defense Department had spent more than a year testing a device bought in an undercover operation that some investigators think could be the cause of the incidents. The device is still being studied and its link to the unexplained incidents is debated, with skepticism in some quarters of government.
Quick Talking Points
- Havana Syndrome symptom cluster is real; US personnel have received medical care and acknowledgement.
- Mechanical replication and identified-weapon evidence have not been produced.
- 2024 GRU Unit 29155 reporting reopens the attribution question for some cases.
- Foreign-adversary attribution has become less confident over time per March 2023 IC assessment.
Timeline
First Havana reports
US diplomats in Havana report unexplained symptoms.
Reports at US consulate Guangzhou
Symptoms appear in China.
JAMA: Penn neuroimaging study
Study reports brain structural differences.
NAS: pulsed RF plausible
National Academies report.
CIA interim assessment
Unlikely to be single foreign actor; multiple cases resolved.
IC assessment: most agencies say foreign adversary "very unlikely"
The Director of National Intelligence said most intelligence agencies had concluded it was "very unlikely" a foreign adversary was responsible, with varying confidence levels across agencies. The assessment was rescinded in June 2026.
NIH imaging study: no brain injury
NIH researchers published their findings in JAMA; the imaging study compared 81 affected personnel with 48 matched controls and found no significant differences in brain structure or function.
Insider/Spiegel/60 Minutes
GRU Unit 29155 reporting.
House subcommittee interim report on the IC assessment
The House Intelligence Committee's CIA subcommittee, led by Rep. Rick Crawford, released an unclassified interim report on Havana Syndrome saying an intelligence community assessment was "sufficiently problematic as to hinder the Subcommittee's trust in the Intelligence Community's process and conclusions."
Source →Updated IC assessment: AP reports five of seven agencies judge a foreign adversary very unlikely
AP reported that five of seven agencies judged it very unlikely that a foreign adversary was behind the incidents. One agency found a "roughly even chance" that a foreign government had used such a weapon in select cases and another judged it possible that a foreign power developed one but unlikely it was deployed; an intelligence official told AP both had low confidence.
Source →CNN reports Pentagon testing a device bought in an undercover operation
CNN reported, citing four sources, that the Defense Department had spent more than a year testing a device purchased in an undercover operation that some investigators think could be the cause of the incidents. The device is still being studied and its link to the unexplained incidents is debated.
Source →DNI rescinds the 2023 and January 2025 IC assessments
Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard rescinded both assessments. An ODNI memo, as described by CNN, said they had selectively excluded relevant intelligence, suppressed alternative analysis and relied on an ethically flawed medical study.
Source →First HAVANA Act payments announced
The Defense Department said it had disbursed nearly $3 million in compensation, which it described as the first HAVANA Act payments made under any presidential administration.
Source →
Notable Quotes
“We found no evidence of any directed-energy attack. Our assessment, informed by extensive neurological, psychological, and intelligence analysis, is that most cases are explained by pre-existing conditions and a combination of environmental factors and psychological phenomena.”
Verdict
The 2020 National Academies of Sciences report concluded that "directed, pulsed radio frequency energy appears to be the most plausible mechanism in explaining these cases" among those it considered, while saying it could not rule out other mechanisms. US intelligence assessments later pointed the other way: in March 2023 the Director of National Intelligence said most intelligence agencies had concluded it was "very unlikely" a foreign adversary was responsible, and AP reported that a January 2025 update had five of seven agencies reaching the same view while two took a more open view with low confidence. In June 2026 the Director of National Intelligence rescinded both assessments, and CNN reported in January 2026 that the Pentagon had been testing a device bought in an undercover operation that some investigators think could be the cause; its link to the incidents is debated. A March 2024 NIH imaging study found no significant evidence of MRI-detectable brain injury, and 2024 reporting by The Insider, Der Spiegel and 60 Minutes linked Russia's GRU Unit 29155 to some incidents. The case is genuinely unsettled: symptoms are real, cases are documented, mechanism remains contested.
What would change our verdicti
Dispositive physical evidence of a directed-energy weapon at a confirmed incident, or alternatively, mechanical replication of the symptoms from documented environmental conditions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Havana Syndrome real?
The symptom cluster is real and has been documented across dozens of affected US personnel. What remains unsettled is the cause and whether foreign adversaries are responsible for most incidents.
Is it caused by microwave weapons?
The 2020 National Academies report concluded that directed, pulsed radio frequency energy appeared to be the most plausible mechanism among those it considered, while saying it could not rule out other mechanisms. A March 2024 NIH imaging study found no significant differences in brain structure or function between affected personnel and matched controls. The Pentagon has also been testing a device bought in an undercover operation, but its link to the incidents is debated. The evidence is mixed.
Did Russia or Cuba cause it?
No attribution has been established. In March 2023 the Director of National Intelligence said most intelligence agencies had concluded it was "very unlikely" a foreign adversary was responsible, and AP reported that a January 2025 update had five of seven agencies agreeing, with two taking a more open view at low confidence. The Director of National Intelligence rescinded both assessments in June 2026. Reporting in 2024 by The Insider, Der Spiegel and 60 Minutes linked Russia's GRU Unit 29155 to some incidents; that is journalism, not an official attribution.
What about the crickets audio?
Audio recorded at the Havana embassy was attributed by UC Berkeley biologists to Indies short-tailed crickets. This indicates environmental explanations for at least some audio recordings, but does not explain all reported symptoms.
Why do US officials still treat it as serious?
Because the medical harm to affected personnel is real: an NIH researcher said the symptoms "are very real" even though the NIH imaging study found no detectable brain injury. The 2021 HAVANA Act provides the basis for compensation payments, and in July 2026 the Defense Department said it had disbursed nearly $3 million, which it described as the first HAVANA Act payments made under any presidential administration.
Sources
Show 18 more sources
Further Reading
- paperNAS 2020 Havana Syndrome Report — NAS Standing Committee (2020)
- paperODNI March 2023 Assessment — ODNI (2023)
- documentaryInsider/Der Spiegel/60 Minutes investigation — The Insider, Der Spiegel, CBS (2024)
- articleNIH anomalous health incident studies — National Institutes of Health (2024)
In Pop Culture
The Havana Syndrome: Mass Psychogenic Illness and the Real Story Behind the Embassy Mystery
Robert E. Bartholomew and Robert W. Baloh
Neurologist and sociologist's detailed case for a mass psychogenic illness explanation, compiling the medical evidence and intelligence-community investigations up to 2021.
Update Log
- November 2026: Added the June 2026 rescission of the 2023 and January 2025 intelligence community assessments by the Director of National Intelligence, the January 2025 assessment's split findings, January 2026 reporting that the Pentagon is testing a device bought in an undercover operation, and the first HAVANA Act payments (July 2026). Corrected the NIH imaging study date to March 2024.